Greetings,
Some time ago, there was a long discussion here about the nature and reasons of the Late Ice Age extinctions of large mammals. I did not follow the whole thread, since it soon reached a dead point. But I have my own ideas about it, and I would like to share them with you. Some of you have argued that the Ice Age mammals were victims of a rapid climatic change, while others blamed it to human impact (also known as the overkill hypothesis). Personally, I would follow the second hypothesis, especially in the light of Miller's recent work in Australia:
Pleistocene Extinction of Genyornis newtoni: Human Impact on Australian Megafauna Science, January 8, 1999.
There he showed very convincingly that a continent-wide extinction occurred simultaneously with human activities (bush firing in this case), while the climatic change during this time was rather modest.
As for the American extinctions, the case is different, since human impact and climatic fluctuations happened simultaneously, making it difficult to resolve the true reasons.
But one can approach the problem from a different direction by looking at the last 2 million years of Ice Age. The Ice Age consisted of several glacial episodes (17 as far as I know), separated by brief, warm interglacials, like the one we now live in. As far as I figured out, the last glacial/interglacial transition was short and violent, in geological terms. We know that climate zones moved for hundreds of miles within a few centuries, accompanied by glacial superfloods which sometimes released more water than all the rivers on Earth combined. It is thus a reasonable assumption that many large mammals were unable to sustain their populations during such violent times.
Looking back in time we find a whole series of other glacial/interglacial trasitions since the Ice Age began, which should have been of equal dimensions, although their documentation is much poorer, of course. But obviously, the extinction rate was much lower than, if it happened at all, or either the Americas would have run out of mammals very early in the Pleistocene. So I think that the climatic argument for Megafauna extinction is seriously flawed, and it is more likely that human impact was responsible.
We could resolve the problem if we knew more about the other transitions, if they were any different or comparable to the last one.
So I leave this question open to discussion. If you consider the points above, is there still anyone favouring a climatic trigger for the megafauna extinction? And if the answer is 'yes', how do you defend it?
Best Regards Christoph Kulmann
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